Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.013188 0.014850 0.016534 0.018362 0.020284 0.022239 0.024375
2025-05-04 0.009693 0.012212 0.014893 0.017927 0.021237 0.024715 0.028621
2025-05-11 0.007686 0.010724 0.014098 0.018047 0.022474 0.027227 0.032667
2025-05-18 0.006098 0.009432 0.013292 0.017945 0.023282 0.029115 0.035885
2025-05-25 0.004734 0.008199 0.012388 0.017585 0.023673 0.030433 0.038376
2025-06-01 0.003751 0.007296 0.011765 0.017458 0.024248 0.031885 0.040950
2025-06-08 0.002881 0.006411 0.011071 0.017166 0.024566 0.032992 0.043085
2025-06-15 0.002284 0.005812 0.010675 0.017186 0.025209 0.034436 0.045570
2025-06-22 0.001678 0.005089 0.010047 0.016864 0.025400 0.035321 0.047385
2025-06-29 0.001133 0.004340 0.009312 0.016350 0.025315 0.035851 0.048762
2025-07-06 0.000635 0.003505 0.008366 0.015500 0.024771 0.035801 0.049432
2025-07-13 0.000465 0.003274 0.008285 0.015780 0.025618 0.037395 0.052009
2025-07-20 0.000238 0.002806 0.007834 0.015589 0.025931 0.038425 0.054027
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.002302 0.007271 0.015226 0.026025 0.039206 0.055778
2025-08-03 0.000013 0.002032 0.007064 0.015344 0.026727 0.040721 0.058396
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001716 0.006729 0.015251 0.027137 0.041863 0.060559
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001362 0.006255 0.014920 0.027208 0.042572 0.062190
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001113 0.005941 0.014802 0.027548 0.043601 0.064194
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000857 0.005548 0.014533 0.027664 0.044338 0.065834
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000702 0.005349 0.014552 0.028161 0.045545 0.068036
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000504 0.004970 0.014255 0.028208 0.046172 0.069524
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000312 0.004507 0.013782 0.027989 0.046446 0.070569
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000133 0.003895 0.013002 0.027306 0.046105 0.070844